Chris Essig

Walkthroughs, tips and tricks from a data journalist in eastern Iowa

Posts Tagged ‘Bill Brady

Quinn calls for deep cuts; nobody likes them

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Gov. Pat Quinn’s proposed cuts

– Today was one of the most important days of the young legislative session, as the governor unveiled his proposed budget to the public. Not surprisingly, the proposal was very bleak. Quinn called for deep, painful cuts, including more than $1 billion in education funding, and basically dared the legislature to pass a 1 percent income tax (which is much lower than the first tax hike he called for). If not, the governor will be forced to go through with his education cuts, which could mean 17,000 teachers statewide are laid off. Talk about a depressing scenario.

Here’s the boss with more:

SPRINGFIELD — Gov. Pat Quinn offered Illinois lawmakers a choice Wednesday: Raise the state income tax or cut spending for schools.

In a 21-minute speech to a joint session of the General Assembly, the governor outlined a gloomy $55 billion budget proposal that relies heavily on borrowing more money and again would delay billions of dollars in payments to people who do business with state government.

With all eyes on the upcoming election, Quinn said lawmakers could face voters in November after either cutting $1.2 billion to local school districts or bumping up the income tax rate by 33 percent.

“I have made some difficult, painful choices in this budget,” the Chicago Democrat said. “You must make some tough choices as well.”

For the full article, click here.

– Quinn is basically playing a game of chicken with the legislature. But could it pay off?

State Rep. Bill Mitchell, R-Forsyth, said the cuts put forth by Quinn were used to scare lawmakers into supporting a tax increase.

“I think that is a strategic move on his part to probably box in the General Assembly,” he said.

But, the state’s dire money troubles might force action this year, said state Rep. Dan Brady, R-Bloomington.

“The mess that we’re in might force compromise that’s desperately needed,” Brady said.

Link.

It’s also possible that neither of the scenarios will come to life. Only time will tell.

– Other cuts (noted above in the graph) were touched on in his speech, but they were basically lost in the shuffle on Wednesday because of how severe his education cuts were. But I spoke with some local officials on Monday, who were paying particular attention to Quinn’s proposed $300 million cut to local governments. And they weren’t happy:

Pana, for example, may need to look into some kind of tax or fee increase to plug such a shortfall, Mayor Steven Sipes said Monday.

Because Pana’s property taxes are capped, city officials would have to consider water rate hikes or a utility tax increases if more revenue is needed, he said. Layoffs are an absolute last resort because the town of 6,000 only has 45 employees.

“It’s going to be devastating,” Sipes said.

Link.

Not good news for any one involved.

– Like his State of the State address last month, Quinn addressed a joint House in the Capitol. Fortunately, his speech today wasn’t nearly as rambling as the SoS address, and lasted only a fraction of the length. He, not unexpectedly, called for a income tax hike. But he noted it would be earmarked solely for education, which was the only new, groundbreaking comment made during the 21-minute speech.

After the speech, I scrambled to get reactions from as many local lawmakers as possible. I think I talked with seven lawmakers. Mike and I spoke with nearly 20 lawmakers in all.

Like our SoS coverage, we basically wrote five separate stories for each of our publications. Here’s a quick wrap:

– The other controversial component of Quinn’s proposal that didn’t get much fan fare was his plan to continue “strategic” borrowing to help the state stay afloat. Bill Brady attacked Quinn on this as well during a presser later in the day. I was all over it:

The Republican state senator from Bloomington was critical of Quinn’s proposal, saying it doesn’t solve the state’s fiscal crisis and instead relies on record amounts of borrowing.

Quinn wants to borrow $4.7 billion to help pay state bills and to roll over an additional $6 billion in unpaid bills to balance the budget.

“Today was an embarrassing day. He (Quinn) asked for an extra 30 days and yet the best he could come up with was a budget that is $4 billion out of balance,” Brady said, referring to Quinn’s request to delay his budget address by a month.

Brady noted that Quinn doesn’t have a plan to repay the borrowing he proposed, and is simply “kicking the can down the road, trying to make it past the election.”

“Quite frankly I wonder if he plans on being here in January because we have a pretty big problem,” he said.

I also shot a quick video of Brady bashing Quinn. I believe it’s the first video the Lee Enterprises’ Springfield bureau has put out, which I’m proud of. Take a look:

– In short, Quinn called for deep cuts today and nobody liked them. This could be a sign of things to come, so be prepared for a very contentious legislative session. And don’t be surprised if nothing get’s done…

Written by csessig

March 10, 2010 at 9:47 pm

Dillard (finally) concedes; Brady wins nomination

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– Not unexpected news…

SPRINGFIELD – More than a month after voters went to the polls, state Sen. Bill Brady was formally declared the winner of the hard-fought Republican primary for governor.

With little fanfare, the Illinois State Board of Elections said the Bloomington real estate developer beat his closest rival, state Sen. Kirk Dillard of Hinsdale, by 193 votes.

Shortly after the announcement, Dillard conceded to Brady. He had said that if the margin was more than 100 votes, he would not seek a recount.

Full story courtesy of the H&R.

So the month-long spectacle has officially ended. Like I noted, Dillard’s announcement wasn’t out of the blue, but it’s still good news that the primary is officially over. In the mean time, we have a long haul ahead of us until the November election. To put it into comparison, our primary lasted for longer than a month. Yet no other state has yet to have their primary. So prepare to be completely exhausted by the campaign by, let’s say, June.

Because the jabs have already begun. From a Quinn press release:

The Republican nominee is from the extreme right wing of the party and far from the mainstream of Illinois voters. In his legislative career, Senator Bill Brady has voted against the Family Medical Leave Act, equal pay for men and women, and raising the minimum wage.

Full release.

– So how close was Brady’s victory? Incredibly close:

– A total of 767,485 votes was cast in the seven-way GOP gubernatorial primary election, with Brady receiving 155,527 votes and Dillard receiving 155,334. The margin separating the candidates was about 0.03 percent of the total votes cast.

– Illinois has 102 counties. Brady won by less than 2 votes per county.

– The state also has 11,215 voting precincts. Dillard would have needed only one more vote for every 57 precincts to overcome Brady.

[…]

– Three other races in February’s primary saw the nominee win by a slimmer vote margin than in the GOP race. But fewer than 450 total votes were cast in each of those races.

I wrote this story that crunches the numbers. Check it out.

And a quick graph that I worked on yesterday:

I made the graph using Google Fusion Tables, which I actually stumbled upon after going to the blog run by the Trib’s news applications team. Great Google resource and a great Trib blog. Check them both out!

I digress. The point is Dillard was close but in the end didn’t quite get enough support. In the mean time, prepare yourself for a very long and drawn-out general election season. Because it’s already started.

Written by csessig

March 6, 2010 at 1:43 pm

Post-election analysis stories

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While the Illinois primary season officially ended a week ago, neither party knows what their ticket is going to look like in the fall. For one, the Democrats are missing a lieutenant governor. The party is still hurting because their former candidate, Scott Lee Cohen, was engulfed in controversy due to revelations into his past, which included horrific tales of violence, sexual misconduct and steroid use. How much of it is true is unknown. But it was enough for him to bow out of the race on Super Bowl Sunday, just five days after he was nominated. The Dems are surely relieved he stepped down, but they now face a new problem: finding a replacement. Rumors are flying everywhere, but it may be a while before they officially name someone.

One would think this controversy would be the perfect battle cry for Republicans to rally behind their candidate for governor. Just one problem: they don’t have one. State Sen. Bill Brady, of Bloomington, is currently in the lead, but it’s so slim, his opponent, State Sen. Kirk Dillard, of Hinsdale, is refusing to give up before all of the provisional and absentee votes are counted. This leaves their ticket even more in limbo than their opponents on the left.

1. With that in mind, it was interesting to see former Gov. Jim Edgar and David Yepsen, director of the Paul Simon Public Policy Institute at Southern Illinois University in Carbondale, give their post-election analysis before a number of movers and shakers Thursday afternoon at a luncheon sponsored by UIS. It was an unprecedented election with unprecedented results. And both acknowledged these points.

The one thing Edgar said that I thought was most interesting was a quick line about how he thought Brady’s 400-vote lead would hold up. Of course, Dillard was Edgar’s chief of staff for a while and Dillard diligently touted his experience under the Edgar administration every day, it seemed, of the election. The fact that he was calling such a close race caught me off guard and eventually became my story:

“I’m saying this as if the 406 votes are going to hold up. I suspect it will,” Edgar said.

Edgar said the key to the Republican race was three candidates from the Chicago area — Dillard, former GOP chairman Andy McKenna and former Attorney General Jim Ryan — split the city vote. All three candidates finished within striking distance of Brady.

“The key factor was geography. It wasn’t ideology,” Edgar said.

A number of media outlets picked up on the story as well, including Capitol Fax, Progress Illinois, Illinois Observer and Illinois Review. It will be interesting to see if Edgar’s prediction comes true in the coming weeks.

2. The governor’s race wasn’t the only one addressed at the luncheon, however. The U.S. Senate race also dominated the conversation and for good reason. This year’s race between Treasurer Alexi Giannoulias and Congressman Mark Kirk should be a barn burner. National Republicans are giddy at the chance of winning Obama’s old seat, while Democrats are poised not to be embarrassed in a state that has been predominately blue for quite some time.

Anways, a few quotes from Edgar and Yepsen made it into another story my colleague Mike was working on. Here is a quick look:

“The Republicans have probably one of the best chances in the United States of picking up a Democratic-held Senate seat,” Edgar said of the Illinois race. “Kind of the icing on the cake is this is a seat that Barack Obama held.”

This race will be watched closely, not only in Illinois but across the nation. Stay tuned…

3. Lastly, one other quick point about the primary election: voter turnout was dismal. Officials pinned the voting public at less than 30 percent of registered voters, which is lower than usual. Primary turnout is usually horrendous but many lawmakers blamed the February primary (the earliest in the nation) for this year’s low numbers. I talked to a number of local Lee lawmakers and did a quick story:

State Rep. Dan Brady, R-Bloomington, agrees the primary is too early and also is co-sponsoring its move to June. In his district, McLean County reported 22 percent of registered voters made their voices heard Tuesday night, which is a slight increase from the 2006 primary when 20 percent voted. In 2002, turnout was 30 percent.

“I think a big part of it was people not being prepared and ready to a deal with a primary election at this point in time,” he said. “It caught them off guard.”

Moving the primary date is going to be a hot issue this session, especially for the minority party who feel the early primary unfairly gives incumbents an edge. I’ll keep you posted.

Well I’m running out of wind once again, so I’m going to stop this post now. What a doozy! I hope you enjoyed every last word…

Image posted by Flickr user myoldpostcards. It is used under a Creative Commons license.

What a night

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Wow. Tonight’s primaries were unprecedented, unpredictable and pretty much everything in between. As it stands, Bill Brady is leading in the GOP governor primary, while Pat Quinn leads for the Democrats. A total of 99 percent of the precincts are in. But Republican Kirk Dillard and Democrat Dan Hynes are not far behind and both vow to fight, fight, fight. This could be settled in court and take months. The race for Democratic comptroller is also coming down to the wire. State Rep. David Miller is in the lead at the moment, but Raja Krishnamoorthi also vows to keep the battle going. The races for lieutenant governor are also–you guessed it–strikingly close. While it’s possible these races could be decided in the next few hours (it’s all ready 1:15 a.m. as it is), I highly doubt it.

Interestingly enough, the Republican party has a unity breakfast tomorrow. That should be interesting…

Anyways, I spent the night covering two other races: the 18th Congressional District and the 19th Congressional District. Things really picked up around 8:30 p.m. because our first deadline was an hour later. We got our stories up and then had to quickly update them for our 10:30 p.m. deadline. After that, we had to update the stories as the final results came in. Fortunately, my races were decided fairly early, at least compared to the governor races.

Between phone calls and frenzied typing, I helped tweet on behalf of Lee Enterprises (@Illinois_Stage). Between Mike and I, we put up a ton of tweets, got in some political conversations with locals and picked up 15 new followers! And many of our newspapers did a great job promoting the feed on their web page. The Pantagraph, for instance, put a nice, colorful teaser on the front page, under the main articles:

The Southern embeded the feed on their front page, just off to the right of the lead articles:

The Herald & Review also embeded our feed on their election page, but that has since been taken down.

We followed the race closely by basically clicking refresh on the result pages for hours on end. My eyes were in pain and honestly, it’s a miracle I’m staring at the computer right now. We finally left at 12:30 p.m., a few hours after our deadlines. Much uncertainty, however, still remains in some of the night’s most important races.

Well I’m running out of steam, so I’m going to end while I’m ahead. It was a fun night but also stressful. But I made it out alive and will live to see another day!

Be on the look out for more updates to come in the next few days…